Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryCeddanne
11HR ←10
43R ←38
34RBI →38
11SB ←10
.236AVG →.249
Current Season
CamCategoryCeddanne
6HR ←5
26R ←23
21RBI →23
7SB ←6
.218AVG →.275
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Smith
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.340 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
Cam Smith: 11 HR / 43 R. Ceddanne Rafaela: 10 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).