MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOU · RF
Change to
Portrait of Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOS · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cam Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and steals.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Cam Smith wins 3 categories (HR, R, SB); Ceddanne Rafaela wins 2 (RBI, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Cam Smith
89.5
Ceddanne Rafaela
86.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Cam Smith
44.6%
Ceddanne Rafaela
32.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Cam Smith
12.0%
Ceddanne Rafaela
5.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Cam Smith
29.0%
Ceddanne Rafaela
41.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Cam Smith
13.6%
Ceddanne Rafaela
13.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Cam Smith
.338
Ceddanne Rafaela
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Cam Smith
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .218
.226
Ceddanne Rafaela
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .275
.246

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Cam Smith
57.20
now 6
5
Ceddanne Rafaela
57.20
now 5
3
Runshigher is better
Cam Smith
2029.20
now 26
21
Ceddanne Rafaela
2029.20
now 23
20
RBIhigher is better
Cam Smith
2026.20
now 21
17
Ceddanne Rafaela
2026.20
now 23
20
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Cam Smith
3.808.20
now 7
6
Ceddanne Rafaela
3.808.20
now 6
5
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCam Smith — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.69
Sell HighCeddanne Rafaela — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.76
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