MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Camilo Doval
Camilo Doval
SF · P
Change to
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Camilo Doval wins 1 (ERA); Elvis Alvarado wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Camilo Doval
98.2
Elvis Alvarado
98.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Camilo Doval
12.9%
Elvis Alvarado
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Camilo Doval
24.2%
Elvis Alvarado
27.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Camilo Doval
29.0%
Elvis Alvarado
28.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Camilo Doval
47.9%
Elvis Alvarado
47.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Camilo Doval
6.5%
Elvis Alvarado
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Camilo Doval
.301
Elvis Alvarado
.328
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Camilo Doval
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
3.77
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
4.29
WHIPlower is better
Camilo Doval
.9002.19
now 1.03
1.40
Elvis Alvarado
.9002.19
now 1.86
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Camilo Doval
4023.80
now 17
0
Elvis Alvarado
4023.80
now 9
0
Winshigher is better
Camilo Doval
.0002.80
now 1
0–0
Elvis Alvarado
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyCamilo Doval — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighElvis Alvarado — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
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