Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryJac
9HR →13
24R →30
29RBI ←19
2SB ←1
.299AVG ←.271
Current Season
CarlosCategoryJac
5HR →6
14R →20
17RBI ←13
1SB1
.328AVG ←.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Cortes
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.379, +0.064 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.359, +0.044 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.370 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Carlos Cortes: 9 HR / 24 R. Jac Caglianone: 13 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).