Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryJonny
9HR ←3
24R →35
30RBI →39
2SB →12
.301AVG ←.249
Current Season
CarlosCategoryJonny
5HR ←2
14R →17
17RBI →19
1SB →6
.328AVG ←.269
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Cortes
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.381, +0.066 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.316 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jonny DeLuca
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Cortes projects 10 HR / .300 AVG vs DeLuca's 3 HR / .249 AVG. The power and average gaps define the verdict direction.