Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryOwen
9HR9
24R →29
30RBI →51
2SB →5
.301AVG ←.189
Current Season
CarlosCategoryOwen
5HR5
14R →17
17RBI →30
1SB →3
.328AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Cortes
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.381, +0.066 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.316 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.287 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
Carlos Cortes: 9 HR / 24 R. Owen Caissie: 9 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).