MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Cole Ragans
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cole Ragans.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Carmen Mlodzinski’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cole Ragans wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Carmen Mlodzinski wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Cole Ragans
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.7%
Cole Ragans
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.6%
Cole Ragans
29.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.6%
Cole Ragans
27.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
45.3%
Cole Ragans
39.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.4%
Cole Ragans
15.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.333
Cole Ragans
.344
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.335.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.48
Cole Ragans
3.335.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.84
4.23
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.261.49
now 1.42
1.37
Cole Ragans
1.261.49
now 1.42
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
4080
now 46
55
Cole Ragans
4080
now 45
70
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.0008
now 4
36
Cole Ragans
.0008
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.72
Hold · wait & seeCole Ragans — hold.conf 0.50
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