MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Janson Junk
Janson Junk
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carmen Mlodzinski wins 2 (K, W); Janson Junk wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Janson Junk
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.7%
Janson Junk
8.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.6%
Janson Junk
16.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.6%
Janson Junk
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
45.3%
Janson Junk
41.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.4%
Janson Junk
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.333
Janson Junk
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.345.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.48
Janson Junk
3.345.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.80
4.00
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.231.49
now 1.42
1.37
Janson Junk
1.231.49
now 1.30
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
4060.60
now 46
55
Janson Junk
4060.60
now 43
47
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.4007.60
now 4
36
Janson Junk
.4007.60
now 3
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.72
Hold · steadyJanson Junk — hold.conf 0.60
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