Rest of Season Projection
CarmenCategoryMartín
86K ←68
4.47ERA →4.26
1.38WHIP →1.33
5–10W ←3–8
0SV0
Current Season
CarmenCategoryMartín
46K ←42
3.76ERA →2.79
1.42WHIP →1.06
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carmen Mlodzinski
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.67 +0.57 vs league with no luck excuse
Martín Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.228 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.34 is 1.55 above the ERA — regression coming
Carmen Mlodzinski: 86 K / 4.47 ERA. Martín Pérez: 68 K / 4.26 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).