MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
AJ Smith-Shawver
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

AJ Smith-Shawver wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Carmen Mlodzinski wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
96.0
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
11.5%
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
17.5%
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
28.9%
Carmen Mlodzinski
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
38.0%
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
8.5%
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.336
Carmen Mlodzinski
.342
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
3.395.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.15
4.10
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.395.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.69
WHIPlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
1.231.49
now 1.38
1.30
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.231.49
now 1.42
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
4062.80
now 4
10
Carmen Mlodzinski
4062.80
now 46
11
Winshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.0005.60
now 0
00
Carmen Mlodzinski
.0005.60
now 4
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAJ Smith-Shawver — hold.conf 0.50
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.82
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