MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Carmen Mlodzinski.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Mitch Keller’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carmen Mlodzinski wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Mitch Keller wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Mitch Keller
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.5%
Mitch Keller
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.9%
Mitch Keller
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.0%
Mitch Keller
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.5%
Mitch Keller
41.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.9%
Mitch Keller
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.340
Mitch Keller
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.405.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.61
Mitch Keller
3.405.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.67
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.071.52
now 1.42
1.39
Mitch Keller
1.071.52
now 1.17
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
40.4065.60
now 46
60
Mitch Keller
40.4065.60
now 51
59
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
110
now 4
37
Mitch Keller
110
now 5
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.78
SellMitch Keller — sell.conf 0.81
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