MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Baz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Carmen Mlodzinski’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Baz wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Carmen Mlodzinski wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Shane Baz
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.6%
Shane Baz
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.5%
Shane Baz
20.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.2%
Shane Baz
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.3%
Shane Baz
42.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.4%
Shane Baz
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.340
Shane Baz
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.405.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.65
Shane Baz
3.405.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.20
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.311.50
now 1.42
1.38
Shane Baz
1.311.50
now 1.43
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
4062.60
now 46
44
Shane Baz
4062.60
now 57
49
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.0006.60
now 4
25
Shane Baz
.0006.60
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.80
Hold · steadyShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
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