Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategoryJackson
10HR →13
39R ←36
29RBI29
13SB →14
.280AVG ←.239
Current Season
CarsonCategoryJackson
4HR →5
28R ←26
21RBI21
9SB →10
.248AVG ←.209
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Benge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.251 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Carson Benge: 10 HR / 39 R. Jackson Merrill: 13 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).