MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KC · C
Change to
Rafael Flores Jr.
PIT · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Rafael Flores Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average. Carter Jensen’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Rafael Flores Jr. wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Carter Jensen wins 0 (none); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Carter Jensen
91.4
Rafael Flores Jr.
90.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Carter Jensen
45.1%
Rafael Flores Jr.
47.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Carter Jensen
11.0%
Rafael Flores Jr.
14.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Carter Jensen
23.9%
Rafael Flores Jr.
29.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Carter Jensen
13.0%
Rafael Flores Jr.
13.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Carter Jensen
.306
Rafael Flores Jr.
.350
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Carter Jensen
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .223
.196
Rafael Flores Jr.
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .667
.265

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Carter Jensen
59.40
now 7
1
Rafael Flores Jr.
59.40
now 1
1
Runshigher is better
Carter Jensen
2031.40
now 23
5
Rafael Flores Jr.
2031.40
now 2
11
RBIhigher is better
Carter Jensen
2035.60
now 26
5
Rafael Flores Jr.
2035.60
now 2
11
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Carter Jensen
.0001.20
now 0
0
Rafael Flores Jr.
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellCarter Jensen — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeRafael Flores Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
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