Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategorySamuel
9HR →11
37R →41
42RBI →44
0SB0
.183AVG →.257
Current Season
CarterCategorySamuel
7HR →9
23R23
26RBI ←25
0SB0
.223AVG →.283
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Samuel Basallo
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.361, +0.046 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 37 R. Samuel Basallo: 11 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).