MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
SD · P
Change to
Hunter Brown
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 1 (WHIP); Hunter Brown wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.3
Hunter Brown
96.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
11.0%
Hunter Brown
11.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
20.0%
Hunter Brown
27.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.4%
Hunter Brown
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
39.4%
Hunter Brown
36.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
8.3%
Hunter Brown
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.303
Hunter Brown
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
25.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.86
Hunter Brown
25.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.84
3.32
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.52
now 0.97
1.29
Hunter Brown
.9001.52
now 1.03
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4068.60
now 49
0
Hunter Brown
4068.60
now 17
0
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Hunter Brown
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyCasey Mize — hold.conf 0.60
BuyHunter Brown — buy.conf 0.83
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