MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
JP Sears
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Casey Mize.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); JP Sears wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.6
JP Sears
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
14.0%
JP Sears
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
25.6%
JP Sears
19.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.6%
JP Sears
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
35.8%
JP Sears
48.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
6.4%
JP Sears
9.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.276
JP Sears
.338
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
24.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.14
JP Sears
24.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.43
now 0.97
1.17
JP Sears
.9001.43
now 1.24
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4066.60
now 49
48
JP Sears
4066.60
now 5
39
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.00015
now 2
13
JP Sears
.00015
now 1
511

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCasey Mize — buy.conf 0.89
Sell HighJP Sears — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.75
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