MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOS · CF
Change to
Portrait of Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHC · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ian Happ.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Ian Happ wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Ceddanne Rafaela wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
86.2
Ian Happ
89.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
31.9%
Ian Happ
43.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
4.9%
Ian Happ
12.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
41.3%
Ian Happ
24.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
13.3%
Ian Happ
14.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.284
Ian Happ
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .275
.247
Ian Happ
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .230
.180

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
517
now 5
3
Ian Happ
517
now 13
5
Runshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
2047
now 23
19
Ian Happ
2047
now 39
29
RBIhigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
2035.80
now 23
19
Ian Happ
2035.80
now 31
23
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.0008
now 6
5
Ian Happ
.0008
now 2
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCeddanne Rafaela — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.77
Hold · leans buyIan Happ — hold.conf 0.60
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