MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 15, 2026
Engraved portrait of Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOS·CF
Sell High high·0.78
Change to
Jonny DeLuca
TB·RF
Sell High med·0.64
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

CeddanneCategoryJonny
8HR 3
32R 34
32RBI 38
8SB 12
.255AVG .249

Current Season

CeddanneCategoryJonny
5HR 2
23R 17
23RBI 19
6SB6
.275AVG .269

What Each Player's System Trusts

Ceddanne Rafaela
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.349 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
  • xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.301 is 0.053 below the surface — regression coming
Jonny DeLuca
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
  • xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming

Ceddanne Rafaela: 8 HR / 32 R. Jonny DeLuca: 3 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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