Rest of Season Projection
ChandlerCategoryIan
0HR →13
46R →58
18RBI →46
22SB ←3
.254AVG ←.184
Current Season
ChandlerCategoryIan
0HR →13
30R →39
12RBI →31
14SB ←2
.284AVG ←.230
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chandler Simpson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.256 below league with no luck excuse
Ian Happ
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Chandler Simpson: 0 HR / 46 R. Ian Happ: 13 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).