MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOS · CF
Change to
Portrait of Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BAL · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Taylor Ward.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and average. Ceddanne Rafaela’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Taylor Ward wins 3 categories (HR, R, AVG); Ceddanne Rafaela wins 2 (RBI, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
86.2
Taylor Ward
89.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
32.4%
Taylor Ward
38.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
4.7%
Taylor Ward
5.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
41.4%
Taylor Ward
14.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
13.2%
Taylor Ward
6.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.281
Taylor Ward
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.230.290
lg AVG .295
now .275
.243
Taylor Ward
.230.290
lg AVG .295
now .248
.249

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
56.20
now 5
3
Taylor Ward
56.20
now 2
4
Runshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
2043.20
now 23
18
Taylor Ward
2043.20
now 36
25
RBIhigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
2027.40
now 23
18
Taylor Ward
2027.40
now 17
12
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.0008
now 6
5
Taylor Ward
.0008
now 2
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCeddanne Rafaela — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.78
BuyTaylor Ward — buy.conf 0.67
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