Rest of Season Projection
CedricCategoryDerek
5HR →7
32R ←29
27RBI ←19
17SB →19
.195AVG →.207
Current Season
CedricCategoryDerek
3HR3
19R ←9
16RBI ←6
10SB ←6
.184AVG →.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cedric Mullins
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.249 below league with no luck excuse
Derek Hill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Cedric Mullins: 5 HR / 32 R. Derek Hill: 7 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).