Rest of Season Projection
CedricCategoryJac
5HR →14
32R →33
27RBI ←22
17SB ←2
.195AVG →.255
Current Season
CedricCategoryJac
3HR →6
19R →20
16RBI ←13
10SB ←1
.184AVG →.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cedric Mullins
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.249 below league with no luck excuse
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Cedric Mullins: 5 HR / 32 R. Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).