Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryFernando
59K →61
3.71ERA →3.68
1.29WHIP →1.25
3–7W3–8
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryFernando
34K ←30
2.54ERA →2.19
1.20WHIP ←1.30
3W3
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.20 above the ERA — regression coming
Fernando Cruz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.31)
Chad Patrick: 59 K / 3.71 ERA. Fernando Cruz: 61 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).