Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryMason
59K ←57
3.71ERA →3.67
1.29WHIP →1.24
3–7W →3–9
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryMason
34K ←30
2.54ERA ←4.09
1.20WHIP ←1.36
3W3
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.20 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Fluharty
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.375 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Chad Patrick: 59 K / 3.71 ERA. Mason Fluharty: 57 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).