MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Richard Lovelady.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Chad Patrick’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Richard Lovelady wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Chad Patrick wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chad Patrick
95.4
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
13.1%
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
22.4%
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
32.1%
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
37.1%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
6.3%
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chad Patrick
.308
Richard Lovelady
.361
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chad Patrick
2.014.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.54
3.87
Richard Lovelady
2.014.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Chad Patrick
.9801.97
now 1.20
1.32
Richard Lovelady
.9801.97
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chad Patrick
4042.40
now 34
20
Richard Lovelady
4042.40
now 21
13
Winshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.2003.80
now 3
13
Richard Lovelady
.2003.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0005.60
now 2
02
Richard Lovelady
.0005.60
now 4
23
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyChad Patrick — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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