MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Gabe Speier
Gabe Speier
SEA · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gabe Speier.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Gabe Speier wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Richard Lovelady wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gabe Speier
95.2
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
12.9%
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
21.6%
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
33.1%
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
38.3%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
11.7%
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gabe Speier
.299
Richard Lovelady
.361
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gabe Speier
24.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
Richard Lovelady
24.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Gabe Speier
1.041.95
now 1.30
1.24
Richard Lovelady
1.041.95
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gabe Speier
4037
now 16
31
Richard Lovelady
4037
now 21
25
Winshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.2003.80
now 1
12
Richard Lovelady
.2003.80
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0008
now 1
13
Richard Lovelady
.0008
now 4
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGabe Speier — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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