MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Garrett Cleavinger
Garrett Cleavinger
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Garrett Cleavinger.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Garrett Cleavinger wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Richard Lovelady wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Garrett Cleavinger
96.8
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Garrett Cleavinger
12.7%
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Garrett Cleavinger
32.0%
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Garrett Cleavinger
36.9%
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Garrett Cleavinger
42.6%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Garrett Cleavinger
7.4%
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Garrett Cleavinger
.295
Richard Lovelady
.361
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Garrett Cleavinger
3.163.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
3.70
Richard Lovelady
3.163.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Garrett Cleavinger
1.041.95
now 1.46
1.24
Richard Lovelady
1.041.95
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Garrett Cleavinger
4035.60
now 17
30
Richard Lovelady
4035.60
now 21
25
Winshigher is better
Garrett Cleavinger
.2003.80
now 1
13
Richard Lovelady
.2003.80
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Garrett Cleavinger
.0008
now 1
13
Richard Lovelady
.0008
now 4
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGarrett Cleavinger — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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