Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryJack
71K ←47
3.73ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–7W ←2–4
0SV →3–6
Current Season
ChaseCategoryJack
47K ←33
3.89ERA ←5.46
1.30WHIP →1.21
3W ←2
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Dollander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.83)
Jack Perkins
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.65 sits 0.45 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Chase Dollander projects for 72 K over Jack Perkins' 48 K, with a 3.68 vs 3.73 ERA flip. The ERA gap is small; Perkins' buy-low verdict reflects underlying skill.