Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryJacob
70K ←31
3.73ERA →3.61
1.26WHIP →1.23
3–7W ←1–2
0SV →8–14
Current Season
ChaseCategoryJacob
47K ←26
3.89ERA →2.00
1.30WHIP →0.59
3W ←1
0SV →8
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Dollander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.84)
Jacob Latz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.149 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.35 is 0.66 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Dollander: 70 K / 3.73 ERA. Jacob Latz: 31 K / 3.61 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
