Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryJacob
32K →42
3.70ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ChaseCategoryJacob
20K →31
2.33ERA ←2.55
0.93WHIP ←1.34
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Jacob Webb
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.32)
Chase Shugart: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Jacob Webb: 42 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).