Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryMason
34K →69
3.70ERA →3.58
1.24WHIP →1.23
2–6W ←1–2
0SV →19–36
Current Season
ChaseCategoryMason
20K →49
2.33ERA →0.72
0.93WHIP →0.84
2W ←1
0SV →17
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (1.10)
Chase Shugart: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Mason Miller: 69 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).