MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Will Vest
Will Vest
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Will Vest.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Chase Shugart’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Will Vest wins 2 categories (K, SV); Chase Shugart wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Will Vest
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.3%
Will Vest
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
27.5%
Will Vest
23.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.5%
Will Vest
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
37.0%
Will Vest
35.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
11.1%
Will Vest
5.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.325
Will Vest
.307
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
Will Vest
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.23
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.66
now 0.93
1.24
Will Vest
.9001.66
now 1.45
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4026.60
now 20
18
Will Vest
4026.60
now 20
21
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.2003.80
now 2
13
Will Vest
.2003.80
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.40
now 0
0
Will Vest
.0002.40
now 1
11
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowWill Vest — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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