Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryMatt
36K →39
3.70ERA3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W ←1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ChaseCategoryMatt
20K →27
1.74ERA ←4.68
1.40WHIP →1.24
1W1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Silseth
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 1.89 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Festa
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.37)
Chase Silseth: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Matt Festa: 39 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).