Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryPaul
36K ←29
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–3W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryPaul
20K ←16
1.74ERA ←3.33
1.40WHIP ←1.44
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Silseth
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 1.89 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Blackburn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.60)
Chase Silseth: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Paul Blackburn: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).