Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryRobbie
82K →112
4.46ERA ←4.80
1.45WHIP →1.41
5–11W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryRobbie
36K →59
5.06ERA →4.45
1.58WHIP →1.40
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Bassitt
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Robbie Ray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.18 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Chris Bassitt: 82 K / 4.46 ERA. Robbie Ray: 112 K / 4.80 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).