Rest of Season Projection
RobbieCategorySeth
112K ←100
4.80ERA →4.67
1.41WHIP →1.37
3–7W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
RobbieCategorySeth
59K →60
4.45ERA →3.55
1.40WHIP →1.35
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Robbie Ray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.18 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Seth Lugo
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.98 +0.88 vs league with no luck excuse
Robbie Ray: 112 K / 4.80 ERA. Seth Lugo: 100 K / 4.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).