MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Dennis Santana
Dennis Santana
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chris Murphy.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Dennis Santana’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Murphy wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Dennis Santana wins 1 (K); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
96.3
Dennis Santana
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
16.3%
Dennis Santana
13.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.4%
Dennis Santana
20.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
29.2%
Dennis Santana
34.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
34.9%
Dennis Santana
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
7.9%
Dennis Santana
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.304
Dennis Santana
.341
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Dennis Santana
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.81
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Dennis Santana
.9002.55
now 1.48
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4024.60
now 6
15
Dennis Santana
4024.60
now 19
17
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.20
now 1
14
Dennis Santana
.0005.20
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.40
now 1
14
Dennis Santana
.0005.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeDennis Santana — hold.conf 0.50
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