MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Zeferjahn
Ryan Zeferjahn
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Murphy wins 2 (WHIP, SV); Ryan Zeferjahn wins 2 (K, ERA); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
96.3
Ryan Zeferjahn
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
15.7%
Ryan Zeferjahn
13.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.6%
Ryan Zeferjahn
32.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
29.2%
Ryan Zeferjahn
23.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
34.8%
Ryan Zeferjahn
34.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
7.6%
Ryan Zeferjahn
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.304
Ryan Zeferjahn
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Ryan Zeferjahn
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.74
3.10
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Ryan Zeferjahn
.9002.55
now 1.39
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4042.40
now 6
14
Ryan Zeferjahn
4042.40
now 32
24
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.2003.80
now 1
13
Ryan Zeferjahn
.2003.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.60
now 1
14
Ryan Zeferjahn
.0005.60
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
BuyRyan Zeferjahn — buy.conf 0.90
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