MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Kinley.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tyler Kinley wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Chris Murphy wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
95.9
Tyler Kinley
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
17.0%
Tyler Kinley
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.6%
Tyler Kinley
25.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
26.6%
Tyler Kinley
25.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
38.3%
Tyler Kinley
25.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
8.5%
Tyler Kinley
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.305
Tyler Kinley
.267
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Tyler Kinley
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.66
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Tyler Kinley
.9002.55
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4038.20
now 6
19
Tyler Kinley
4038.20
now 28
29
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0009.40
now 1
25
Tyler Kinley
.0009.40
now 4
27
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0008.40
now 1
16
Tyler Kinley
.0008.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowChris Murphy — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
Hold · wait & seeTyler Kinley — hold.conf 0.50
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