Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryLanden
136K ←116
3.18ERA ←3.28
1.11WHIP ←1.34
9–19W ←6–12
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryLanden
80K ←72
2.01ERA ←4.22
0.94WHIP ←1.31
8W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Sale
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 1.16 above the ERA — regression coming
Landen Roupp
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.325 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Sale projects 136 K / 3.18 ERA vs Roupp's 116 K / 3.28 ERA. The K edge (136 vs 116) closes the ERA gap. Sell-high Sale; buy-low Roupp.