Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryJacob
134K ←130
3.19ERA ←3.79
1.11WHIP →1.05
9–19W ←4–9
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryJacob
80K ←78
2.01ERA ←3.48
0.94WHIP ←1.01
8W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Sale
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.19 is 1.17 above the ERA — regression coming
Jacob deGrom
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.79)
Chris Sale: 134 K / 3.19 ERA. Jacob deGrom: 130 K / 3.79 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).