Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryReid
136K ←131
3.18ERA →2.91
1.11WHIP ←1.21
9–19W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryReid
80K →82
2.01ERA ←4.63
0.94WHIP ←1.18
8W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Sale
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 1.16 above the ERA — regression coming
Reid Detmers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.91, 1.19 below league — production is earned
Chris Sale: 3.18 ERA / 136 K vs Reid Detmers: 2.91 ERA / 131 K. The verdicts split — sell-high window on Sale, clear buy on Detmers.