Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryWill
136K ←117
3.18ERA ←3.33
1.11WHIP ←1.23
9–19W ←8–17
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryWill
80K ←70
2.01ERA ←3.22
0.94WHIP ←1.20
8W ←7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Sale
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 1.16 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Warren
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.33, 0.77 below league — production is earned
Sale leads in ERA (3.18 vs 3.33) and K (136 vs 117), but the sell-high verdict signals regression; Warren's buy call makes him the rest-of-season acquisition.