Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryTJ
8HR →11
53R ←37
45RBI →46
8SB ←0
.210AVG →.264
Current Season
ChristianCategoryTJ
4HR →7
21R →23
18RBI →29
3SB ←0
.275AVG →.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Yelich
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.389 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.292 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
TJ Rumfield
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.339)
Christian Yelich: 8 HR / 53 R. TJ Rumfield: 11 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).