Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryVladimir
8HR →14
52R →53
45RBI ←36
7SB →8
.212AVG →.320
Current Season
ChristianCategoryVladimir
4HR ←3
21R →35
18RBI →24
3SB →5
.275AVG →.298
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Yelich
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.392 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.289 is 0.065 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.363, +0.048 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Christian Yelich: 8 HR / 52 R. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 14 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).