MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Clay Holmes
CHC · P
Change to
Quinn Mathews
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Quinn Mathews.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Clay Holmes’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Quinn Mathews wins 1 categories (ERA); Clay Holmes wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Clay Holmes
92.9
Quinn Mathews
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
9.9%
Quinn Mathews
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
18.6%
Quinn Mathews
21.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Clay Holmes
32.8%
Quinn Mathews
26.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
40.5%
Quinn Mathews
36.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Clay Holmes
4.4%
Quinn Mathews
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Clay Holmes
.303
Quinn Mathews
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Clay Holmes
24.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.39
3.87
Quinn Mathews
24.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Clay Holmes
.9002.08
now 1.10
1.38
Quinn Mathews
.9002.08
now 1.80
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Clay Holmes
4063
now 45
0
Quinn Mathews
4063
now 3
0
Winshigher is better
Clay Holmes
.0005.60
now 4
0–0
Quinn Mathews
.0005.60
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighClay Holmes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.88
Hold · leans buyQuinn Mathews — hold.conf 0.60
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