Rest of Season Projection
ClaytonCategoryFernando
38K →57
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–3W →3–8
6–12SV ←0
Current Season
ClaytonCategoryFernando
15K →30
2.30ERA →2.19
1.21WHIP ←1.30
1W →3
4SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Clayton Beeter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.88 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Fernando Cruz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.20 is 1.20 above the ERA — regression coming
Clayton Beeter: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Fernando Cruz: 57 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).