Rest of Season Projection
FernandoCategoryKevin
57K ←32
3.68ERA3.69
1.25WHIP →1.24
3–8W3–7
0SV →1–6
Current Season
FernandoCategoryKevin
30K ←19
2.19ERA ←2.67
1.30WHIP →0.81
3W3
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Fernando Cruz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.19)
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Fernando Cruz: 57 K / 3.68 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 32 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).