Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryFernando
36K →61
3.71ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP ←1.25
3–8W3–8
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
AlbertCategoryFernando
10K →30
2.61ERA →2.19
1.21WHIP ←1.30
2W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.190 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.01 is 2.40 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Fernando Cruz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.31)
Albert Suárez: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Fernando Cruz: 61 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).