Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryMitchell
35K →42
3.69ERA ←3.74
1.24WHIP1.24
3–8W ←2–5
0SV →1–2
Current Season
ColinCategoryMitchell
23K →26
2.14ERA ←5.28
0.81WHIP ←1.17
3W ←2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.208 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.69 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Mitchell Parker
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.22)
Colin Holderman: 35 K / 3.69 ERA. Mitchell Parker: 42 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).